Obsidian/Presentations/ERLM/slides/6_Risks_and_Contingencies.tex
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\begin{frame}{Four primary risks with clear mitigation and contingency plans}
\begin{enumerate}
\item<1-> \alert<1>{\textbf{Computational Tractability of Synthesis}}
\begin{itemize}
\item[] \textit{Risk:} Synthesis times exceed project timeline
\item[] \textit{Indicator:} $>$24hr for simplified procedures
\item[] \textit{Contingency:} Reduce to minimal viable startup sequence
\item[] \textit{Mitigation:} HPC resources, compositional verification
\end{itemize}
\item<2-> \alert<2>{\textbf{Discrete-Continuous Interface Complexity}}
\begin{itemize}
\item[] \textit{Risk:} Boolean guards cannot map to continuous dynamics
\item[] \textit{Indicator:} No barrier certificates exist for transitions
\item[] \textit{Contingency:} Restrict to polytopic invariants
\item[] \textit{Mitigation:} Design controllers with transitions as constraints
\end{itemize}
\item<3-> \alert<3>{\textbf{Procedure Formalization Completeness}}
\begin{itemize}
\item[] \textit{Risk:} Procedures lack precision for autonomous control
\item[] \textit{Indicator:} Multiple valid interpretations, operator judgment
\item[] \textit{Contingency:} Document gaps as research contribution
\item[] \textit{Mitigation:} Early analysis with domain experts
\end{itemize}
\item<4-> \alert<4>{\textbf{Hardware-in-the-Loop Integration}}
\begin{itemize}
\item[] \textit{Risk:} Real-time constraints incompatible with hardware
\item[] \textit{Indicator:} Communication dropouts, missed deadlines
\item[] \textit{Contingency:} Software-in-the-loop with timing analysis (TRL 4)
\item[] \textit{Mitigation:} Early integration testing, ARCADE infrastructure
\end{itemize}
\end{enumerate}
\end{frame}
\begin{frame}{Staged structure ensures partial success yields valuable results}
\begin{columns}
\begin{column}{0.5\textwidth}
\begin{block}{Early Detection}
\small
Each risk has specific indicators for early warning
\begin{itemize}
\item[] Quarterly assessment of progress
\item[] Data-driven plan revision only when assumptions invalidated
\end{itemize}
\end{block}
\end{column}
\begin{column}{0.5\textwidth}
\begin{block}{Research Value}
\small
Even contingency outcomes contribute knowledge
\begin{itemize}
\item[] Identifying barriers is itself valuable
\item[] Clear pathway for future work
\item[] Publishable results at each stage
\end{itemize}
\end{block}
\end{column}
\end{columns}
\vspace{1cm}
\begin{center}
\textbf{Contingency plans preserve core methodology\\
while adjusting scope to maintain feasibility}
\end{center}
\end{frame}