Multi-session work bundle on a draft branch. Splits into a clean
sequence of commits later; pushed here so it isn't lost on a reboot.
Reach work
- code/scripts/reach/reach_scram_pj.jl: shutdown_margin halfspace
X_exit (replaces "n <= 1e-4 AND T_f bound" framing); per-step
envelope extraction added.
- code/scripts/reach/reach_scram_pj_fat.jl: per-step envelope
extraction added; shutdown_margin discharge logic mirrored from the
tight scram script. 3 probes (10/30/60s) all discharge from the
fat union polytope.
- code/scripts/reach/reach_scram_full_fat.jl (NEW): full nonlinear
PKE scram reach with fat entry. Hits the stiffness wall at
~1.5 s plant time as expected; saves NaN-tolerant per-step
envelopes. Demonstrates concretely why PJ is the right tool for
the longer-horizon proof.
- code/scripts/reach/reach_heatup_pj.jl: T_REF_START_C constant
(entry-conditioned ramp) replaces T_STANDBY-init that was making
the FL controller command cooling at t=0. Per-step extraction
already in place.
- code/configs/heatup/tight.toml: bumped maxsteps; probe horizon
parameterized.
Hot-standby SOS barrier
- code/scripts/barrier/barrier_sos_2d_shutdown.jl (NEW): mirrors the
operation SOS machinery on the hot-standby thermal projection.
Includes the eps-slack pattern (so feasibility doesn't silently
collapse to B == 0).
- code/scripts/barrier/barrier_sos_2d.jl: refactored to use the same
helper.
- code/src/sos_barrier.jl (NEW): solve_sos_barrier_2d helper module
factoring out the SOS construction; eps-slack with eps_cap=1.0 to
avoid unbounded primal.
Library
- code/src/pke_states.jl (NEW): single source of truth for canonical
initial-condition vectors per DRC mode (op, shutdown, heatup) keyed
off plant + predicates.
- code/scripts/sim/{main_mode_sweep,validate_pj}.jl, code/CLAUDE.md:
migrated to pke_states.
Predicates + invariants
- reachability/predicates.json: new shutdown_margin predicate (1%
dk/k tech-spec floor, expressed as alpha_f*T_f + alpha_c*T_c
halfspace). Used as scram X_exit.
Plot script
- code/scripts/plot/plot_reach_tubes.jl: plot_tubes_scram_pj() with
variant=:fat|:tight knob; plot_tubes_scram_full() for full-PKE
3-panel (T_c, T_f, rho); plot_tubes_heatup_pj() reads results/
not reachability/.
Journal + memory
- journal/entries/2026-04-27-shutdown-sos-and-scram-X_exit.tex (NEW):
long-form entry on the SOS hot-standby barrier and the scram X_exit
refactor.
- journal/journal.tex: input chain updated.
- claude_memory/ — three new session notes:
* 2026-04-27-scram-X_exit-shutdown-margin.md
* 2026-04-28-DICE-2026-conference-intel.md (people, sessions,
strategic notes for the May 12 talk)
* 2026-04-28-path1-sos-pj-sketch.md (sketch of nonlinear-SOS via
polynomial multiply-through; saved for an overnight session)
Docs
- docs/model_cheatsheet.md (NEW): one-page reference of state vector,
dynamics, constants, modes, predicates, sanity numbers — the talk
prep cheatsheet Dane asked for.
- docs/figures/reach_*_tubes.png: regenerated with the new mat data.
- presentations/prelim-presentation/outline.md: revised arc per the
April-28 review pass (cuts: Lyapunov-fails standalone slide,
operation-tube standalone slide, SOS standalone; adds: scopes-of-
control framing, scram on the headline result slide).
- app/predicate_explorer.jl: minor.
Hacker-Split: end-of-session scratch bundle
306 lines
13 KiB
Julia
306 lines
13 KiB
Julia
#!/usr/bin/env julia
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#
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# reach_scram_pj_fat.jl — scram reach from the union of all mode-entry
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# reach envelopes + the LOCA scenario envelope.
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#
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# Morning-review point 2: the real scram X_entry is the set of all
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# states the plant could plausibly be in across every mode + accident
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# scenarios. Computes the bounding-box hull of:
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#
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# 1. Hot-standby IC box (narrow, from mode_boundaries.q_shutdown.X_entry_polytope)
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# 2. Heatup reach envelope (from results/reach_heatup_pj_tight.mat)
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# 3. Operation reach envelope (from results/reach_operation_result.mat)
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# 4. LOCA reach final-state envelope (from results/reach_loca_operation.mat)
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#
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# Then runs scram PJ on the fat X_entry and reports per-halfspace result.
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using Pkg
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Pkg.activate(joinpath(@__DIR__, "..", ".."))
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using LinearAlgebra
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using Printf
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using ReachabilityAnalysis, LazySets
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using JSON
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using MAT
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# Plant constants.
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const LAMBDA = 1e-4
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const BETA_1, BETA_2, BETA_3, BETA_4, BETA_5, BETA_6 =
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0.000215, 0.001424, 0.001274, 0.002568, 0.000748, 0.000273
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const BETA = BETA_1 + BETA_2 + BETA_3 + BETA_4 + BETA_5 + BETA_6
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const LAM_1, LAM_2, LAM_3, LAM_4, LAM_5, LAM_6 =
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0.0124, 0.0305, 0.111, 0.301, 1.14, 3.01
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const P0 = 1e9
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const M_F, C_F, M_C, C_C, HA, W_M, M_SG =
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50000.0, 300.0, 20000.0, 5450.0, 5e7, 5000.0, 30000.0
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const ALPHA_F, ALPHA_C = -2.5e-5, -1e-4
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const T_COLD0 = 290.0
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const DT_CORE = P0 / (W_M * C_C)
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const T_HOT0 = T_COLD0 + DT_CORE
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const T_C0 = (T_HOT0 + T_COLD0) / 2
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const T_F0 = T_C0 + P0 / HA
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const U_SCRAM = -8 * BETA
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const Q_SG_DECAY = 0.03 * P0
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# X_exit threshold: shutdown_margin halfspace, mirrors predicates.json.
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const RHO_SDM = 0.01 # 1% dk/k
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const SDM_RHS = -RHO_SDM - U_SCRAM + ALPHA_F*T_F0 + ALPHA_C*T_C0 # ≈ 0.00297
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# Taylorized scram RHS (same as reach_scram_pj.jl).
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@taylorize function rhs_scram_fat_taylor!(dx, x, p, t)
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rho = U_SCRAM + ALPHA_F * (x[7] - T_F0) + ALPHA_C * (x[8] - T_C0)
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sum_lam_C = LAM_1*x[1] + LAM_2*x[2] + LAM_3*x[3] +
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LAM_4*x[4] + LAM_5*x[5] + LAM_6*x[6]
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denom = BETA - rho
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n = LAMBDA * sum_lam_C / denom
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inv_factor = sum_lam_C / denom
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dx[1] = BETA_1 * inv_factor - LAM_1 * x[1]
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dx[2] = BETA_2 * inv_factor - LAM_2 * x[2]
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dx[3] = BETA_3 * inv_factor - LAM_3 * x[3]
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dx[4] = BETA_4 * inv_factor - LAM_4 * x[4]
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dx[5] = BETA_5 * inv_factor - LAM_5 * x[5]
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dx[6] = BETA_6 * inv_factor - LAM_6 * x[6]
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dx[7] = (P0 * n - HA * (x[7] - x[8])) / (M_F * C_F)
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dx[8] = (HA * (x[7] - x[8]) - 2 * W_M * C_C * (x[8] - x[9])) / (M_C * C_C)
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dx[9] = (2 * W_M * C_C * (x[8] - x[9]) - Q_SG_DECAY) / (M_SG * C_C)
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dx[10] = one(x[1])
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return nothing
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end
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# --- Build fat X_entry from union of reach envelopes ---
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results_dir = joinpath(@__DIR__, "..", "..", "..", "results")
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# 1. Hot-standby box from predicates.json.
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pred_raw = JSON.parsefile(joinpath(@__DIR__, "..", "..", "..", "reachability", "predicates.json"))
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sh_entry = pred_raw["mode_boundaries"]["q_shutdown"]["X_entry_polytope"]
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hs_n_lo, hs_n_hi = sh_entry["n_range"]
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hs_Tf_lo, hs_Tf_hi = sh_entry["T_f_range_C"]
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hs_Tc_lo, hs_Tc_hi = sh_entry["T_c_range_C"]
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hs_Tcold_lo, hs_Tcold_hi = sh_entry["T_cold_range_C"]
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# Precursor bounds at hot-standby: C_i = β_i/(λ_i·Λ) · n, with n in hs_n_range.
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function C_range_for_n(n_lo, n_hi)
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C_lo = [BETA_1/(LAM_1*LAMBDA)*n_lo, BETA_2/(LAM_2*LAMBDA)*n_lo,
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BETA_3/(LAM_3*LAMBDA)*n_lo, BETA_4/(LAM_4*LAMBDA)*n_lo,
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BETA_5/(LAM_5*LAMBDA)*n_lo, BETA_6/(LAM_6*LAMBDA)*n_lo]
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C_hi = [BETA_1/(LAM_1*LAMBDA)*n_hi, BETA_2/(LAM_2*LAMBDA)*n_hi,
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BETA_3/(LAM_3*LAMBDA)*n_hi, BETA_4/(LAM_4*LAMBDA)*n_hi,
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BETA_5/(LAM_5*LAMBDA)*n_hi, BETA_6/(LAM_6*LAMBDA)*n_hi]
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return C_lo, C_hi
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end
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shutdown_C_lo, shutdown_C_hi = C_range_for_n(hs_n_lo, hs_n_hi)
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shutdown_lo = [shutdown_C_lo; hs_Tf_lo; hs_Tc_lo; hs_Tcold_lo] # 9 entries
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shutdown_hi = [shutdown_C_hi; hs_Tf_hi; hs_Tc_hi; hs_Tcold_hi]
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# 2. Heatup tight envelope (read from results/reach_heatup_pj_tight.mat).
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heatup_path = joinpath(results_dir, "reach_heatup_pj_tight.mat")
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heatup_lo = fill(NaN, 9); heatup_hi = fill(NaN, 9)
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if isfile(heatup_path)
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h = matread(heatup_path)
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# Use the longest-horizon probe's envelope (T=300 or whatever's there).
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Tprobes = sort(collect([parse(Int, replace(split(k, "_")[2], ".0" => "")) for k in keys(h) if startswith(k, "T_") && endswith(k, "_Tc_lo_ts")]))
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if !isempty(Tprobes)
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T = Tprobes[end]
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pre = "T_$(T)_"
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heatup_lo = [minimum(vec(h[pre*"Tf_lo_ts"])) - 5, # pad slightly
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fill(0.0, 6)...] # 6 Cs from full-state operating range
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# Rebuild more carefully:
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heatup_C_lo, heatup_C_hi = C_range_for_n(1e-3, 2e-3)
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heatup_lo = [heatup_C_lo; minimum(vec(h[pre*"Tf_lo_ts"]));
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minimum(vec(h[pre*"Tc_lo_ts"])); minimum(vec(h[pre*"Tco_lo_ts"]))]
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heatup_hi = [heatup_C_hi; maximum(vec(h[pre*"Tf_hi_ts"]));
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maximum(vec(h[pre*"Tc_hi_ts"])); maximum(vec(h[pre*"Tco_hi_ts"]))]
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end
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else
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println("Warning: $heatup_path not found; using hot-standby as fallback.")
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heatup_lo = shutdown_lo; heatup_hi = shutdown_hi
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end
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# 3. Operation reach envelope from results/reach_operation_result.mat.
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op_path = joinpath(results_dir, "reach_operation_result.mat")
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op_lo = fill(NaN, 9); op_hi = fill(NaN, 9)
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if isfile(op_path)
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o = matread(op_path)
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X_lo_op = o["X_lo"]; X_hi_op = o["X_hi"] # 10 × M
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# Drop row 1 (n) for the 9-state PJ scram model.
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op_lo = [minimum(X_lo_op[i, :]) for i in 2:10]
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op_hi = [maximum(X_hi_op[i, :]) for i in 2:10]
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end
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# 4. LOCA operation reach final envelope.
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loca_path = joinpath(results_dir, "reach_loca_operation.mat")
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loca_lo = fill(NaN, 9); loca_hi = fill(NaN, 9)
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if isfile(loca_path)
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l = matread(loca_path)
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X_env_lo = vec(l["X_envelope_lo"]) # 10 entries
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X_env_hi = vec(l["X_envelope_hi"])
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loca_lo = X_env_lo[2:10] # drop n
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loca_hi = X_env_hi[2:10]
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end
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# Union = element-wise min/max across all sources.
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sources = [
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("shutdown", shutdown_lo, shutdown_hi),
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("heatup", heatup_lo, heatup_hi),
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("operation", op_lo, op_hi),
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("loca", loca_lo, loca_hi),
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]
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fat_lo = fill(+Inf, 9); fat_hi = fill(-Inf, 9)
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for (name, lo, hi) in sources
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any(isnan, lo) || any(isnan, hi) && continue
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for i in 1:9
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fat_lo[i] = min(fat_lo[i], lo[i])
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fat_hi[i] = max(fat_hi[i], hi[i])
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end
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end
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# LOCA values are absurd on precursors (linear reach numeric blowup) — clamp
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# C_i bounds to something physically plausible. Cap at 1000× the
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# operating-point C values (generous).
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C_clamp_hi = [BETA_i/(LAM_i*LAMBDA) * 1.2e0 for (BETA_i, LAM_i) in
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zip([BETA_1,BETA_2,BETA_3,BETA_4,BETA_5,BETA_6],
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[LAM_1,LAM_2,LAM_3,LAM_4,LAM_5,LAM_6])]
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C_clamp_lo = [BETA_i/(LAM_i*LAMBDA) * 1e-7 for (BETA_i, LAM_i) in
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zip([BETA_1,BETA_2,BETA_3,BETA_4,BETA_5,BETA_6],
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[LAM_1,LAM_2,LAM_3,LAM_4,LAM_5,LAM_6])]
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for i in 1:6
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fat_lo[i] = max(fat_lo[i], C_clamp_lo[i])
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fat_hi[i] = min(fat_hi[i], C_clamp_hi[i])
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end
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# Temperatures: clamp to model's trust region ~[200, 400] °C.
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for i in 7:9
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fat_lo[i] = max(fat_lo[i], 200.0)
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fat_hi[i] = min(fat_hi[i], 400.0)
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end
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println("\n=== Fat X_entry(scram) from union of reach envelopes ===")
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state_names_9 = ["C1","C2","C3","C4","C5","C6","T_f","T_c","T_cold"]
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for i in 1:9
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println(" $(state_names_9[i]): [$(round(fat_lo[i]; sigdigits=4)), $(round(fat_hi[i]; sigdigits=4))]")
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end
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# Add augmented time state.
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x_lo_full = [fat_lo; 0.0]
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x_hi_full = [fat_hi; 0.0]
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X0 = Hyperrectangle(low=x_lo_full, high=x_hi_full)
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# --- Scram reach ---
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results = Dict{Float64, Any}()
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for T_probe in (10.0, 30.0, 60.0)
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println("\n--- Probe T = $T_probe s ---")
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sys = BlackBoxContinuousSystem(rhs_scram_fat_taylor!, 10)
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prob = InitialValueProblem(sys, X0)
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try
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alg = TMJets(orderT=4, orderQ=2, abstol=1e-9, maxsteps=100000)
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t0 = time()
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sol = solve(prob; T=T_probe, alg=alg)
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elapsed = time() - t0
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flow = flowpipe(sol)
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flow_hr = overapproximate(flow, Hyperrectangle)
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n_sets = length(flow_hr)
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println(" TMJets: $n_sets reach-sets in $(round(elapsed; digits=1)) s")
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# --- Per-step envelopes for plotting tubes ---
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t_arr = zeros(n_sets)
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n_lo_ts = zeros(n_sets); n_hi_ts = zeros(n_sets)
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rho_lo_ts = zeros(n_sets); rho_hi_ts = zeros(n_sets)
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Tc_lo_ts = zeros(n_sets); Tc_hi_ts = zeros(n_sets)
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Tf_lo_ts = zeros(n_sets); Tf_hi_ts = zeros(n_sets)
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for (k, R) in enumerate(flow_hr)
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s = set(R)
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t_arr[k] = high(s, 10)
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sumLC_lo_k = LAM_1*low(s,1) + LAM_2*low(s,2) + LAM_3*low(s,3) +
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LAM_4*low(s,4) + LAM_5*low(s,5) + LAM_6*low(s,6)
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sumLC_hi_k = LAM_1*high(s,1) + LAM_2*high(s,2) + LAM_3*high(s,3) +
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LAM_4*high(s,4) + LAM_5*high(s,5) + LAM_6*high(s,6)
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rho_lo_k = U_SCRAM + ALPHA_F*(high(s,7) - T_F0) + ALPHA_C*(high(s,8) - T_C0)
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rho_hi_k = U_SCRAM + ALPHA_F*(low(s,7) - T_F0) + ALPHA_C*(low(s,8) - T_C0)
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denom_lo_k = BETA - rho_hi_k
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denom_hi_k = BETA - rho_lo_k
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n_lo_ts[k] = denom_lo_k > 0 ? LAMBDA * sumLC_lo_k / denom_hi_k : NaN
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n_hi_ts[k] = denom_lo_k > 0 ? LAMBDA * sumLC_hi_k / denom_lo_k : NaN
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rho_lo_ts[k] = rho_lo_k
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rho_hi_ts[k] = rho_hi_k
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Tc_lo_ts[k] = low(s, 8); Tc_hi_ts[k] = high(s, 8)
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Tf_lo_ts[k] = low(s, 7); Tf_hi_ts[k] = high(s, 7)
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end
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last = set(flow_hr[end])
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sumLC_lo = LAM_1*low(last,1) + LAM_2*low(last,2) + LAM_3*low(last,3) +
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LAM_4*low(last,4) + LAM_5*low(last,5) + LAM_6*low(last,6)
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sumLC_hi = LAM_1*high(last,1) + LAM_2*high(last,2) + LAM_3*high(last,3) +
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LAM_4*high(last,4) + LAM_5*high(last,5) + LAM_6*high(last,6)
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rho_lo = U_SCRAM + ALPHA_F*(low(last,7) - T_F0) + ALPHA_C*(high(last,8) - T_C0)
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rho_hi = U_SCRAM + ALPHA_F*(high(last,7) - T_F0) + ALPHA_C*(low(last,8) - T_C0)
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denom_lo = BETA - rho_hi
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denom_hi = BETA - rho_lo
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n_lo = denom_lo > 0 ? LAMBDA * sumLC_lo / denom_hi : NaN
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n_hi = denom_lo > 0 ? LAMBDA * sumLC_hi / denom_lo : NaN
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# shutdown_margin discharge: alpha_f*T_f + alpha_c*T_c ≤ SDM_RHS.
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# Coefficients negative → sup over the box at low(T_f), low(T_c).
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sdm_lhs_hi = ALPHA_F*low(last,7) + ALPHA_C*low(last,8)
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sdm_ok = sdm_lhs_hi <= SDM_RHS
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println(" n envelope: [$(round(n_lo; sigdigits=4)), $(round(n_hi; sigdigits=4))]")
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println(" T_c envelope: [$(round(low(last,8); digits=2)), $(round(high(last,8); digits=2))] °C")
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println(" T_f envelope: [$(round(low(last,7); digits=2)), $(round(high(last,7); digits=2))] °C")
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println(" rho envelope: [$(round(rho_lo; sigdigits=4)), $(round(rho_hi; sigdigits=4))] (shutdown margin = $(round(-rho_hi; sigdigits=4)) dk/k)")
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println(" shutdown_margin LHS sup: $(round(sdm_lhs_hi; sigdigits=4)) vs RHS $(round(SDM_RHS; sigdigits=4)) → $(sdm_ok ? "✓ DISCHARGED" : "× not yet")")
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results[T_probe] = (status="OK", n=(n_lo, n_hi), elapsed=elapsed,
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rho=(rho_lo, rho_hi), sdm_lhs_hi=sdm_lhs_hi, sdm_ok=sdm_ok,
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t_arr=t_arr,
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n_lo_ts=n_lo_ts, n_hi_ts=n_hi_ts,
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rho_lo_ts=rho_lo_ts, rho_hi_ts=rho_hi_ts,
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Tc_lo_ts=Tc_lo_ts, Tc_hi_ts=Tc_hi_ts,
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Tf_lo_ts=Tf_lo_ts, Tf_hi_ts=Tf_hi_ts)
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catch err
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println(" FAILED: ", first(sprint(showerror, err), 300))
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results[T_probe] = (status="FAILED",)
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break
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end
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end
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println("\n=== Summary ===")
|
||
for T_probe in (10.0, 30.0, 60.0)
|
||
haskey(results, T_probe) || continue
|
||
r = results[T_probe]
|
||
if r.status == "OK"
|
||
ok_str = r.sdm_ok ? "✓ shutdown_margin DISCHARGED" : "× shutdown_margin not yet"
|
||
@printf " T = %4.0f s: n ∈ [%.3e, %.3e] ρ ∈ [%.4f, %.4f] %s\n" T_probe r.n[1] r.n[2] r.rho[1] r.rho[2] ok_str
|
||
else
|
||
println(" T = $T_probe s: FAILED")
|
||
end
|
||
end
|
||
|
||
mat_out = joinpath(results_dir, "reach_scram_pj_fat.mat")
|
||
saved = Dict{String,Any}("fat_lo" => fat_lo, "fat_hi" => fat_hi,
|
||
"sources" => ["shutdown", "heatup_tight", "operation", "loca_operation"],
|
||
"sdm_rhs" => SDM_RHS, "rho_sdm" => RHO_SDM)
|
||
for (T_probe, r) in results
|
||
if r.status == "OK"
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_n_lo"] = r.n[1]
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_n_hi"] = r.n[2]
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_rho_lo"] = r.rho[1]
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_rho_hi"] = r.rho[2]
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_sdm_lhs_hi"] = r.sdm_lhs_hi
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_sdm_ok"] = r.sdm_ok ? 1.0 : 0.0
|
||
# Per-step time series for tube plotting.
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_t_arr"] = r.t_arr
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_n_lo_ts"] = r.n_lo_ts
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_n_hi_ts"] = r.n_hi_ts
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_rho_lo_ts"] = r.rho_lo_ts
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_rho_hi_ts"] = r.rho_hi_ts
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_Tc_lo_ts"] = r.Tc_lo_ts
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_Tc_hi_ts"] = r.Tc_hi_ts
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_Tf_lo_ts"] = r.Tf_lo_ts
|
||
saved["T_$(Int(T_probe))_Tf_hi_ts"] = r.Tf_hi_ts
|
||
end
|
||
end
|
||
matwrite(mat_out, saved)
|
||
println("\nSaved fat-entry scram reach to $mat_out")
|