3 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Dane Sabo
8d2c7d0956 steam-dump heatup reach: quantifies the cost of modeling the disturbance
Morning-review point 3 result: tight-entry heatup PJ reach with
Q_sg in [0, 5% P0] as a bounded parameter (augmented state x[10]).

  T=60s:  7042 sets in 394s — T_c in [270.97, 291.0] — low-trip × loose
  T=300s: 100k sets budget exhausted in 5400s —
          T_c in [219.4, 316.3] — low-trip × loose

Compared to the no-disturbance tight-entry run (all 6 halfspaces at
300s, T_c in [281.05, 291.0]), the bounded steam-dump disturbance
costs the low-T_avg-trip discharge even at 60s. Physically correct
— steam dump pulls heat through secondary, cascades into cold-leg
and T_avg. The reach tube accurately captures this coupling.

Thesis-relevant finding: without modeled disturbance bounds, reach
tubes are over-optimistic. Quantifies how much of the prior
"all 6 halfspaces" result came from Q_sg=0 simplification vs.
actual controller robustness.

Results saved to results/reach_heatup_pj_with_steam_dump.mat.
Journal entry updated with the per-horizon table + decision box on
what this means for thesis claims.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-21 22:11:02 -04:00
Dane Sabo
5050b9e71e fat-entry scram: n decays 0.047→0.009 over 60s from fat X_entry
Scram PJ reach from the bounding-box union of:
  - hot-standby box (mode_boundaries.q_shutdown)
  - heatup-tight reach envelope (results/reach_heatup_pj_tight.mat)
  - operation-LQR reach envelope (results/reach_operation_result.mat)
  - LOCA operation envelope (results/reach_loca_operation.mat, 3s)

with precursor + temperature outliers clamped to physical bounds.

Results at probe horizons:
  T=10s: 10890 sets in 480s wall — n ∈ [-8e-4, 0.047]   T_c [231, 362]
  T=30s: 16925 sets in 2892s wall — n ∈ [-4e-4, 0.021]  T_c [229, 361]
  T=60s: 23919 sets in 705s wall  — n ∈ [-2e-4, 0.009]  T_c [226, 359]

Monotone n decay, factor-of-5-per-minute even from the wide union.
This is the defensible scram-obligation version: starts from anywhere
the plant could plausibly be (including LOCA-perturbed operation
state), proves n decays. X_exit(scram)=n≤1e-4 still not reached in
60s — same T_max-vs-plant-decay mismatch previously flagged.

Fixed: missing Printf import that had failed the summary block on the
first run (results still computed correctly, just the final print
errored; the matwrite is after the print so the mat file wasn't
saved on that run).

Journal entry for 2026-04-21 extended with the fat-entry result +
the LOCA-reach 3s-horizon numerical-looseness apass. 38 pages.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-21 21:40:04 -04:00
Dane Sabo
c4297e616c journal: Tikhonov bound derivation for prompt-jump reduction
New entry 2026-04-21-polytopic-sos-tikhonov.tex covering:
  - Polytopic barrier attempt (naive Nagumo check), why it fails
    (safety polytope too large for LQR contraction from anywhere),
    and the Blanchini pre-image algorithm as the right fix.
  - SOS polynomial barrier success on the 2-state reduced projection:
    CSDP returns OPTIMAL on a degree-4 polynomial B(x1, x2). First
    non-quadratic barrier artifact for this plant. Full polynomial
    coefficients embedded.
  - Tikhonov singular-perturbation theorem derivation for the PJ
    reduction. Writes the 10-state PKE in slow-fast form with
    eps=Lambda, identifies the quasi-steady manifold h(x) = PJ
    formula, shows fast subsystem exponentially stable under the
    prompt_critical_margin_heatup invariant. Error bound:
    |x(t) - x_PJ(t)| <= C*Lambda = O(1e-4) in state units, uniform
    after boundary layer. Empirical validation data (0.1% max) is
    consistent with K_1 ~ 40, K_3 ~ 70 problem constants.
  - apass markers for remaining open items: scram entry expansion,
    heatup steam-dump Q_sg, heatup controller-ref mismatch.

The Tikhonov derivation upgrades "we ran it and 0.1% error" to
"bounded by C*Lambda where C depends on problem properties bounded
by the safety halfspaces." Rigorous rate.

Journal: 38 pages, clean build.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-21 17:23:20 -04:00