Obsidian/Presentations/ERLM/presentation-outline.md

# Presentation Outline: Formally Verified Autonomous Hybrid Control for Nuclear Reactors

**Audience:** Engineering PhDs (not necessarily control, nuclear, or formal methods experts)

**Presentation Style:** Assertion-Evidence

---

## 1. Title Slide
**Assertion:** Autonomous Hybrid Control with Formal Safety Guarantees Enables Economic Viability of Next-Generation Nuclear Power

**Content:**
- Your name, affiliation
- Brief subtitle about bridging formal methods and control theory

---

## 2. The Economic Challenge
**Assertion:** Small modular reactors face an unsustainable staffing cost problem that threatens their economic viability

**Evidence:**
- Comparison chart: staffing costs per MW for conventional vs SMR
- Current requirement: 2+ ROs + 1 SRO per reactor
- Training timeline: up to 6 years to become a reactor operator
- Cost breakdown showing O&M as 23-30% of levelized cost
- Projected datacenter demand reaching 1,050 TWh by 2030 = $21-28B annually in O&M

**Key Message:** Automation is not optional—it's economically essential

---

## 3. The Safety Imperative
**Assertion:** Human operators are the root cause of 70-80% of nuclear incidents despite decades of training improvements

**Evidence:**
- Bar chart: 70-80% human error vs 20% equipment failure
- IAEA statement: "Human error was the root cause of all severe accidents"
- TMI case study visualization:
  - 100+ simultaneous alarms
  - 44% core meltdown
  - 500-fold underestimation of risk
- Human Error Probability table showing degradation under stress:
  - Optimal: 0.001-0.01
  - Under accident conditions: 0.1-1.0 (essentially guaranteed failure)

**Key Message:** Training alone cannot overcome fundamental cognitive limitations

---

## 4. The Paradox
**Assertion:** Nuclear control faces a fundamental tension—human operators are both essential for flexibility and the primary source of failure

**Evidence:**
- Two-column comparison:
  - LEFT: "Why we need humans" (judgment, adaptability, procedure interpretation)
  - RIGHT: "Why humans fail" (cognitive limits, stress, 7±2 working memory, response time: seconds vs milliseconds)
- Current division of labor diagram:
  - Automated: Emergency protection (trip systems, ECCS)
  - Manual: Strategic operations (startup, mode transitions, power changes)
- Quote from TMI Commission about "ambiguity in responsibility"

**Key Message:** We need the reliability of automation with the sophistication of human decision-making

---

## 5. What Are Hybrid Control Systems?
**Assertion:** Hybrid systems combine continuous dynamics with discrete mode switching—exactly how nuclear plants operate

**Evidence:**
- Simple equations showing hybrid dynamics:
  - Continuous: ẋ(t) = f(x(t), q(t), u(t))
  - Discrete: q(k+1) = ν(x(k), q(k), u(k))
- Intuitive example diagram: Nuclear reactor startup
  - Mode 1 (Cold Shutdown): Temperature control
  - Transition condition: T > 400°F
  - Mode 2 (Heatup): Ramp rate control
  - Transition condition: Approach criticality
  - Mode 3 (Low Power): Neutron flux control
- Contrast with pure continuous (traditional control) and pure discrete (software)

**Key Message:** Nuclear operations are inherently hybrid—continuous physics with discrete strategic decisions

---

## 6. The Gap in Current Approaches
**Assertion:** Existing methods can handle either continuous dynamics or discrete logic, but not both with formal guarantees

**Evidence:**
- Venn diagram showing the gap:
  - Circle 1: Formal Methods (HARDENS) → Discrete logic verification ✓, Continuous dynamics ✗
  - Circle 2: Control Theory → Continuous stability ✓, Discrete transitions ✗
  - Gap in middle: Hybrid system verification
- HARDENS achievement summary:
  - Complete RTS verification in 9 months
  - Requirements → verified binaries
  - BUT: No continuous dynamics, no closed-loop verification
  - TRL 3-4, no experimental validation

**Key Message:** We can verify half the system with existing tools—we need to bridge the gap

---

## 7. Our Three-Thrust Approach
**Assertion:** Unifying discrete synthesis and continuous verification enables end-to-end correctness guarantees for hybrid systems

**Evidence:**
- Pipeline diagram with three stages:

  **Thrust 1:** Procedures → Temporal Logic (FRET)
  - Input: Written procedures
  - Tool: NASA FRET (FRETish language)
  - Output: LTL specifications
  - Key feature: Realizability checking

  **Thrust 2:** Temporal Logic → Discrete Automaton (Reactive Synthesis)
  - Input: LTL specifications
  - Tool: Strix (reactive synthesis)
  - Output: Discrete state machine
  - Key feature: Correct by construction

  **Thrust 3:** Continuous Controllers + Verification
  - Input: Discrete automaton + plant model
  - Tools: Reachability analysis, barrier certificates
  - Output: Verified continuous modes
  - Key feature: Compositional verification

**Key Message:** Each piece uses state-of-the-art tools; innovation is in the integration

---

## 8. Thrust 1: From Procedures to Logic
**Assertion:** NASA's FRET tool systematically translates written procedures into unambiguous temporal logic specifications

**Evidence:**
- Side-by-side example:
  - LEFT: Natural language: "If a high temperature alarm triggers, control rods must immediately insert and remain inserted until operator reset"
  - RIGHT: Temporal logic: G(HighTemp → X(RodsInserted ∧ (¬RodsWithdrawn U OperatorReset)))
- FRETish structure diagram showing 6 required components:
  - Scope | Condition | Component | Shall | Timing | Response
- Realizability checking benefits:
  - Detects conflicting requirements
  - Identifies undefined behaviors
  - Finds "bugs" in procedures before implementation

**Key Message:** FRET bridges human-readable procedures and machine-verifiable specifications

---

## 9. Thrust 2: Synthesizing Discrete Controllers
**Assertion:** Reactive synthesis automatically generates provably correct discrete switching logic from temporal specifications

**Evidence:**
- What is reactive synthesis? Simple explanation:
  - Input: Temporal logic formula (what should happen)
  - Output: State machine (how to make it happen)
  - Guarantee: If a solution exists, it is correct by construction
- Example automaton visualization for reactor mode transitions
  - Nodes: Cold Shutdown, Heatup, Low Power, Full Power, SCRAM
  - Edges: Transition conditions
  - Highlight: This is the "operator's decision-making" automated
- Strix tool performance (SYNTCOMP winner)

**Key Message:** The discrete controller is mathematically guaranteed to follow procedures—no switching errors possible

---

## 10. Thrust 3: Continuous Mode Verification
**Assertion:** Continuous controllers are verified using three complementary techniques that avoid global trajectory analysis

**Evidence:**
- Three types of continuous modes based on transition objectives:
  - **Stabilizing:** Stay in current mode (e.g., full-power operation)
  - **Transitory:** Drive toward next mode (e.g., startup heatup)
  - **Expulsory:** Force to safe mode (e.g., SCRAM)
- Three verification techniques:

  1. **Reachability Analysis:**
     - Computes reachable state sets
     - Verifies boundary conditions are met
     - Recent advances: Neural Hamilton-Jacobi for high dimensions

  2. **Assume-Guarantee Contracts:**
     - Each mode verified with input/output bounds
     - Compositional: local verification, global guarantees

  3. **Barrier Certificates:**
     - Proves safe set forward invariance
     - Guarantees transitions occur correctly
     - Ensures stability across mode switches

**Key Message:** Local verification of each mode is tractable; composition ensures global correctness

---

## 11. Why This Works: The Key Insight
**Assertion:** Designing continuous controllers after synthesizing the discrete automaton enables local verification instead of intractable global analysis

**Evidence:**
- Problem with traditional approach:
  - Design everything at once
  - Verify entire trajectory through all modes
  - Computationally intractable for complex systems
- Our approach:
  - Discrete automaton defines transition boundaries
  - Design each continuous mode to satisfy its local transitions
  - Use assume-guarantee to chain modes together
  - Barrier certificates prove transitions are safe
- Diagram showing modular verification:
  - Each mode verified independently
  - Interface contracts guarantee composition
  - Total system correctness follows from local proofs

**Key Message:** Decomposition is the key to tractable verification

---

## 12. Demonstration: SmAHTR Startup
**Assertion:** Autonomous startup of a Small Modular Advanced High Temperature Reactor provides a rigorous test case spanning multiple coordinated modes

**Evidence:**
- Why SmAHTR?
  - Well-documented startup procedures
  - Multiple distinct operational modes
  - Complex thermal-hydraulics + neutron kinetics
  - Representative of next-gen reactor designs
- Startup sequence complexity:
  - Cold conditions → Controlled heating → Approach criticality → Low-power physics → Full power
  - Multiple coordinated subsystems
  - Strict timing and temperature constraints
- Implementation platform:
  - High-fidelity Simulink model (thermal-hydraulics + neutron kinetics)
  - Emerson Ovation control hardware (industry standard)
  - ARCADE integration (hardware-in-the-loop)
  - Real-time performance validation

**Key Message:** This is not a toy problem—it's representative of actual deployment challenges

---

## 13. Expected Outcomes
**Assertion:** Success will be measured by progression to TRL 5, demonstrating practical feasibility beyond theoretical proof

**Evidence:**
- TRL progression chart:
  - Starting point: TRL 2-3 (basic concepts, HARDENS as precedent)
  - Target: TRL 5 (validated prototype in relevant environment)
  - Gap: Experimental validation with continuous dynamics
- Three concrete deliverables:

  **Outcome 1:** Procedure translation methodology
  - Engineers can generate verified controllers from regulatory procedures
  - No formal methods expertise required

  **Outcome 2:** Continuous verification framework
  - Standard control design + iterative verification
  - Proof of safe mode transitions

  **Outcome 3:** SmAHTR demonstration
  - Autonomous startup on industrial hardware
  - Hardware-in-the-loop validation
  - Path to deployment

**Key Message:** TRL 5 proves both theoretical validity and practical implementability

---

## 14. Broader Impact: Beyond Nuclear
**Assertion:** This methodology generalizes to any safety-critical hybrid system with documented operational procedures

**Evidence:**
- Common pattern across domains:
  - Written procedures exist
  - Continuous dynamics + discrete decisions
  - Safety is paramount
  - Autonomy has economic benefits
- Application domains table:
  - Chemical process control (batch processes, safety interlocks)
  - Aerospace (flight phases, emergency procedures)
  - Autonomous transportation (driving modes, emergency maneuvers)
  - Medical devices (therapy modes, patient monitoring)
- Economic multiplier:
  - Nuclear O&M: $21-28B annually (projected datacenter demand alone)
  - Broader safety-critical infrastructure: Much larger
- Regulatory pathway:
  - Proving concept in nuclear (highest safety bar)
  - Establishes precedent for other industries
  - Mathematical proof as regulatory evidence

**Key Message:** Nuclear is the proving ground; impact extends far beyond

---

## 15. Innovation Summary
**Assertion:** The innovation is not in individual techniques but in their systematic integration to bridge a fundamental gap in cyber-physical systems

**Evidence:**
- What's NOT new (but state-of-the-art):
  - Temporal logic and reactive synthesis (computer science)
  - Reachability analysis and barrier certificates (control theory)
  - Hardware-in-the-loop validation (industry practice)
- What IS new:
  - **Integration:** Unifying discrete and continuous verification
  - **Methodology:** Systematic tool-supported workflow from procedures to verified controller
  - **Decomposition:** Local verification with compositional guarantees
  - **Practical:** Targets existing industrial hardware (Emerson Ovation)
- Comparison to HARDENS:
  - HARDENS: Discrete only, TRL 3-4, no continuous dynamics
  - This work: Full hybrid system, TRL 5, hardware-in-the-loop
- Key enabling insight:
  - Automaton-first design enables tractable continuous verification

**Key Message:** Standing on the shoulders of giants to solve a previously intractable problem

---

## 16. Timeline and Feasibility
**Assertion:** This research is feasible within a PhD timeline given existing tools, models, and infrastructure access

**Evidence:**
- Existing infrastructure:
  - University of Pittsburgh Cyber Energy Center
  - Emerson control hardware access
  - SmAHTR Simulink model already developed
  - ARCADE platform operational
  - Industry collaboration channels
- Tool maturity:
  - FRET: Production-ready (NASA JPL)
  - Strix: Competition-winning synthesis tool
  - Reachability tools: Recent advances make high-dimensional systems tractable
- Risk mitigation:
  - Start with simpler mode sequences, add complexity incrementally
  - Extensive simulation before hardware-in-the-loop
  - Fallback: Manual continuous controller design if synthesis proves intractable
- Precedent: HARDENS achieved similar scope in 9 months

**Key Message:** Ambitious but achievable with existing resources and tools

---

## 17. Conclusion: The Path Forward
**Assertion:** Formally verified autonomous hybrid control is essential for next-generation nuclear power and provides a template for broader safety-critical autonomy

**Evidence:**
- Three converging imperatives:
  1. **Economic:** SMRs need autonomy to be viable ($21-28B annual O&M for datacenter demand)
  2. **Safety:** Human error causes 70-80% of incidents; training can't fix cognitive limits
  3. **Technical:** Tools now exist to verify hybrid systems; HARDENS proved discrete is feasible
- This research closes the gap:
  - HARDENS + Continuous Verification = Complete Hybrid System
  - Theory + Hardware-in-the-Loop = TRL 5
  - Nuclear Demonstration = Pathway for broader adoption
- Vision: Control engineers generate high-assurance autonomous controllers from procedures
  - No formal methods PhD required
  - Mathematical proof of correctness included
  - Deployable on existing industrial hardware

**Key Message:** The pieces exist; we're putting them together at the right time for the right application

---

## 18. Questions
**Assertion:** (Keep a few backup slides here for common questions)

Potential backup slides:
- Detailed FRET example
- Reactive synthesis algorithm overview
- Reachability analysis visualization
- Comparison with other autonomy approaches (ML, MPC, etc.)
- Regulatory acceptance pathway
- Scalability to larger systems